(15-8-2017)
林吉祥：“10和5方程式”可夺五州政权
林吉祥声称，只要满足“10和5方程式”，希盟就能一举夺下霹州、森州和柔州政权，并且保住槟州和雪州。
正当希盟提出“马来海啸”论述之际，行动党国会领袖林吉祥声称，满足“10和5方程式”，希盟就能一举夺下霹州、森州和柔州政权，并且保住槟州和雪州。
林吉祥今天发文告表示，“10和5方程式”即10%马来人和5%非马来人，将原本投给国阵的选票转投希盟。
“在这种情况之下，即使伊党扮演着扰流板的角色，希盟不仅可以赢得半岛大部分国会席位，也将赢得霹雳、森美兰和柔佛州政府的政权。”
“除此之外，还会以比2013年全国大选更多的大多数票维持槟城和雪兰莪的政权。”
“如果希盟可以统领马来西亚半岛最具经济活力州属的政府，并且成立联邦政府，这将为国家真正的经济和政治转型铺路。”
槟雪政府实行改革
林吉祥声称，过去8年，槟州和雪州政府领先在各级实行改革，表明实践善政的意义。
“再加上至少3个州政府，其他州属的选民不久就会看到希盟政府与国阵政府的明显差异。”
“在联邦和州级，马来西亚人民海啸将为所有人的美好未来铺平道路。”
巫统边缘议席是主战场
行动党政治教育主任刘镇东早前指出，国阵的39个多数票低于10%的边缘议席，当中32个是巫统的议席。这将是决战来届大选的真正战场。
他也声称，应当乘借马来海啸之势，透过领导能力、清晰的政策以及团结各族的信息，聚焦于这些国阵最不稳的选区。
而团结党主席慕尤丁也说，巫统领袖猛力炮打土著团结党，反映巫统高层领袖已察觉 “马来海啸”的到来，因而惶恐不安。
他指出，“马来海啸”正在席卷马来腹地，一旦巫统丢失这些传统政治堡垒，则它将无法生存。
10 and 5 formula sufficient for Pakatan Harapan to win Perak, Negeri Sembilan and Johor and retain Penang and Selangor
Last week, I discussed the possibility of Pakatan Harapan (PH) winning 113 parliament seats in Peninsular Malaysia with the help of a Malaysian tsunami which will rid the country of BN’s 60 year rule and allow us to start on a clean slate under a new government.
This Malaysian tsunami will take place if 10% of Malays and 5% of non-Malays were to switch their votes from the BN to PH and that voters make a clear distinction between supporting PH and support PAS.
Under these circumstances, even with PAS playing the role of a spoiler, PH will not only win the majority of parliament seats in Peninsular Malaysia, it will also win control of the state governments in Perak, Negeri Sembilan and Johor in addition to retaining Penang and Selangor with even larger majorities compared to GE2013 (See Table 1 below).
Table 1: Number of state seats won by PH under the 10 and 5 formula (10% Malay and 5% non-Malay swing against the BN)
Perak Negeri Sembilan Johor Penang Selangor
BN 20 (34%) 17 (47%) 20 (35%) 3 (7%) 6 (11%)
PH 39 (66%) 19 (53%) 36 (65%) 37 (93%) 50 (89%)
Total 59 36 56 40 56
Note: PAS is left with 10% of the Malay vote and a negligible % of the non-Malay vote under the Malaysian tsunami scenario
If PH can gain control of the governments of the five most economically dynamic states in Peninsular Malaysia and also form the federal government, this will pave the way for a genuine economic and political transformation of the nation.
The Penang and Selangor state governments have led the way in the past eight years in introducing reforms at various levels and showing what good governance means in practice. With the addition of at least three more state governments, it will not be long before voters in the other states see the obvious differences between a PH government and a BN government.
The Malaysian tsunami will pave the way for a better future for all, at the federal as well as at the state levels.
[Press Conference Statement at Wisma DAP Penang in Penang on Tuesday, 15th August 2017 at 11 am]
